Macroeconomic objectives Paper 2

IBDP Economics  HL – Macroeconomics – Macroeconomic objectives -Paper 2 Exam Style Practice Questions

Macroeconomic objectives Paper 2? 

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Exam Style Question for IBDP Economics HL- Macroeconomic objectives -Paper 2

Current account deficit poses a challenge to Pakistan’s economy

  1. The president of Pakistan has expressed his concern at the significant increase in Pakistan’s current account deficit. The current account deficit grew to US$12.12 billion in the fiscal year of 2016/17 compared to US$4.86 billion in 2015/16. The deficit was caused by rising imports and falling exports. The increasing current account deficit may result in Pakistan having to request a new International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan to fund the deficit. To avoid this, the president is proposing that the importing of luxury, non-essential items needs to be reduced.

  2. The governor of Pakistan’s central bank agreed with the president’s concern. He said that the “rapidly growing current account deficit is the biggest challenge facing the country’s economy”. He agreed that the problem is made worse because many non-essential imports are being purchased, which requires borrowing from abroad. However, he stressed that while rising non-essential imports are a problem, “32 % of imports are capital goods” and are necessary for the continued growth of small to medium enterprises (SMEs), agriculture, housing and construction.

  3. Central bank advisors have also recommended depreciating the rupee (Pakistan’s currency) to reduce the trade deficit. The value of the rupee is currently controlled through a managed exchange rate system. It has been suggested that the rupee is overvalued by as much as 20 %. However, the central bank governor claims that a “depreciation has a number of negative effects”.

  4. In 2016, Pakistan’s economic growth reached 5.3 %, its highest point for 10 years. The government has estimated that it will be 6 % in 2017. According to the central bank governor, loans to SMEs are currently only 7 to 8 % of all loans to businesses in Pakistan. He believes that if loans to SMEs were increased to 15 to 17 % of all loans to businesses in Pakistan, there would be even higher economic growth.

  5. Along with the current account deficit, fiscal policy decisions have also led to a significant budget deficit. The budget deficit increased in 2016, resulting in greater public debt. The central bank recommends the government’s debt to be limited to 60 % of gross domestic product (GDP).

Question

Explain the difference between a current account deficit and a budget deficit (paragraph [5]).

▶️Answer/Explanation
For an explanation that a current account deficit is when the net flow of money /value from trade in goods and services and income flows and/or transfers is negative AND and explanation that a bugdet deficit occurs when government spending is greater than government revenues.

The World Bank reports on economic growth in Kenya

  1. The World Bank’s recent overview of Kenya has given a positive assessment of Kenya’s growth prospects, based on domestic and international factors. The East African nation of Kenya has a population of approximately 46.1 million, which increases by an estimated one million per year. The World Bank projected 5.9 % economic growth in 2016, rising to 6 % in 2017. This positive outlook is based on continued low oil prices, growth in the agricultural sector, expansionary monetary policy and ongoing infrastructure investments.

  2. The World Bank has identified other key contributing factors to Kenya’s short-term growth. These include an expanding services sector, higher levels of construction, currency stability, low inflation, a growing middle-class and rising incomes, a surge in remittances (money sent by a foreign worker to their home country) and increased public investment in energy and transportation.

  3. Tourism, information and communications and public administration are among the sectors that have registered the highest growth. Inflation has been at an average of 6.3 %, which is within the Kenyan central bank’s target range.

  4. The World Bank also predicted that, of 82 countries investigated, Kenya would have the highest long-term growth and that its real gross domestic product (GDP) in 2050 should be seven times larger than it is today. Fast population growth, a modest improvement in the business environment, urbanization and fast-growing neighbouring countries are all contributing factors to the positive prediction.

  5. While the growing Kenyan economy is creating more jobs now than in the past, these are mainly in the informal services sector and are low productivity jobs. 9 million young people will join the labour market in the next 10 years. Given the scarcity of formal sector jobs, they will continue to find jobs in the informal sector. These jobs are usually in very small businesses, often run from homes.

  6. The World Bank suggests that there is a need to increase the productivity of jobs in the informal sector. It says that this could be achieved by increasing work-related skills through training schemes, increasing communication and learning between formal and informal firms, and helping small-scale firms to become suppliers for firms in the formal sector. To create more and higher-skilled jobs, it is also essential to reduce the cost of doing business.

  7. According to the World Bank, Kenya has made significant structural and economic reforms that have contributed to sustained economic growth in the past decade. However, economic growth does not always mean economic development. The main development challenges facing Kenya include poverty, inequality, climate change, low commodity prices and the vulnerability of the economy to internal and external shocks.

Question

Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how expansionary monetary policy might lead to economic growth (paragraph [1]).

▶️Answer/Explanation
An AD/AS diagram showing a shift of the AD curve to the right and an increase in the level of national income AND an explanation that an expansionary monetary policy (reduction in interest rates) will increase consumption/investment increasing AD. This leads to an increase in real GDP, and thus economic growth.

The World Bank reports on economic growth in Kenya

  1. The World Bank’s recent overview of Kenya has given a positive assessment of Kenya’s growth prospects, based on domestic and international factors. The East African nation of Kenya has a population of approximately 46.1 million, which increases by an estimated one million per year. The World Bank projected 5.9 % economic growth in 2016, rising to 6 % in 2017. This positive outlook is based on continued low oil prices, growth in the agricultural sector, expansionary monetary policy and ongoing infrastructure investments.
  2. The World Bank has identified other key contributing factors to Kenya’s short-term growth. These include an expanding services sector, higher levels of construction, currency stability, low inflation, a growing middle-class and rising incomes, a surge in remittances (money sent by a foreign worker to their home country) and increased public investment in energy and transportation.
  3. Tourism, information and communications and public administration are among the sectors that have registered the highest growth. Inflation has been at an average of 6.3 %, which is within the Kenyan central bank’s target range.
  4. The World Bank also predicted that, of 82 countries investigated, Kenya would have the highest long-term growth and that its real gross domestic product (GDP) in 2050 should be seven times larger than it is today. Fast population growth, a modest improvement in the business environment, urbanization and fast-growing neighbouring countries are all contributing factors to the positive prediction.
  5. While the growing Kenyan economy is creating more jobs now than in the past, these are mainly in the informal services sector and are low productivity jobs. 9 million young people will join the labour market in the next 10 years. Given the scarcity of formal sector jobs, they will continue to find jobs in the informal sector. These jobs are usually in very small businesses, often run from homes.
  6. The World Bank suggests that there is a need to increase the productivity of jobs in the informal sector. It says that this could be achieved by increasing work-related skills through training schemes, increasing communication and learning between formal and informal firms, and helping small-scale firms to become suppliers for firms in the formal sector. To create more and higher-skilled jobs, it is also essential to reduce the cost of doing business.
  7. According to the World Bank, Kenya has made significant structural and economic reforms that have contributed to sustained economic growth in the past decade. However, economic growth does not always mean economic development. The main development challenges facing Kenya include poverty, inequality, climate change, low commodity prices and the vulnerability of the economy to internal and external shocks.

Question

Explain the difference between economic growth and economic development (paragraph [7]).

▶️Answer/Explanation

Responses may include:

  • growth is increase in real GDP
  • development is measure of well-being/standard of living/welfare
  • GDP single indicator/measures only income (quantitative)
  • development is composite (qualitative) / made up of multiple measures such as literacy rates, access to clean water, life expectancy, years of schooling, level of gender equality. 

Economic growth in Cambodia

  1. Economic growth in Cambodia Cambodia has become one of the fastest growing economies in Asia and has now been classified as an upper middle-income country, according to the World Bank.

  2. Export promotion has helped Cambodia to grow. It has used low-cost labour to manufacture products for export. This has been helped by the fact that the price of labour has increased in China and other Asian countries. Cambodia’s large supply of inexpensive, low-skilled labour has attracted much foreign direct investment (FDI) into the production of garments and footwear for export and contributed to its economic growth. Last year, there was a 10.2 % increase in the export of garments and footwear in Cambodia, which makes up 70 % of its exports.

  3. Throughout Asia, hundreds of millions of people have been lifted out of poverty through manufacturing jobs that allowed them to better educate their children, who could then have a better life.

  4. However, Cambodia’s manufacturing competitiveness is being challenged by other countries in the region, particularly those that manufacture low-cost clothing. A recent increase in the minimum wage may also pose problems. Industry representatives have raised concerns that the garment industry may lose investors, who may leave to find cheaper places, if the minimum wage continues to increase.

  5. Cambodia needs to further diversify its economy if it hopes to maintain the high growth rates it has achieved in recent years. To support diversification, the government has launched an industrial development policy aimed at upgrading industry from low-cost, labour-intensive manufacturing to production with higher value added. The policy encourages the expansion and modernization of small and medium-sized enterprises, stronger regulations and enforcement, and a better environment for doing business.

  6. There remain many challenges to deal with. One of them is growing inequality—there is income inequality between urban and rural areas—as well as gender inequality. Women continue to face disadvantages in gaining access to higher education, well-paid employment opportunities and decision-making roles in government.

  7. Approximately 30 000 young Cambodians enter the labour force each year but often do not have the required skills to meet the needs of the labour market. While a large proportion of the labour force is employed, many jobs are informal, vulnerable, unstable and poorly paid. There is a critical need to address problems in education and training and to help children complete school. While 98 % of children attend primary school in Cambodia, many drop out later due to a lack of funds. Only 30 % of young people complete high school.

  8. The rapid economic and population growth in Cambodia is leading to significant environmental pollution. Environmentalists have identified garment factories as being one of the four main industrial activities that significantly contribute to air and water pollution.

Question

Define the term economic growth indicated in bold in the text (paragraph [2]).

▶️Answer/Explanation
An explanation that it is an increase in the real GDP of an economy/ increase in the potential output (capacity) of an economy

Text A — Overview of Vietnam

  1. Economic reforms in Vietnam during the past 30 years have led to rapid economic growth, which has transformed a poor nation into a lower middle-income economy. The percentage of the population with an income of less than US$1.90 a day declined from 38 % in 2002 to below 2 % in 2018.

  2. Vietnam used to be a food-insecure nation, in which many people sometimes lacked access to affordable food, but it is now a leading exporter of basic food commodities. It also aims to become an exporter of high quality and processed food products. However, agricultural production only accounts for 18 % of gross domestic product (GDP), although it uses 40 % of the land and employs 43 % of the labour force. Due to the growing rural population, land is often divided up between a greater number of farmers, causing some farms to become smaller. These farms have fewer opportunities to benefit from economies of scale and lower average costs of production.

  3. Vietnam’s rapid growth and industrialization, focused on export-oriented manufacturing, have had a harmful impact on the environment. Electricity consumption has tripled since 2010, growing faster than GDP. Electricity generation, which mainly uses fossil fuels, accounts for approximately 60 % of Vietnam’s carbon emissions. Demand for water continues to increase. Unsustainable exploitation of natural resources, such as land, fisheries, and timber, could negatively affect prospects for long-term growth. In addition, Vietnam’s primary sector is highly vulnerable to the climate and is therefore subject to supply shocks.

  4. Vietnam has signed several free trade agreements (FTAs). Its first FTA was a partnership with Japan in 2008. Both Vietnam and Japan are members of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), which took effect at the beginning of 2019. These FTAs also promote inward foreign direct investment (FDI). In addition, Vietnam has introduced policies to attract foreign investment, such as tax incentives and spending on infrastructure.

  5. Japan is the biggest provider of foreign aid to Vietnam and the largest source of FDI. Japanese firms and aid agencies are jointly financing large-scale projects, including port infrastructure and a high-speed railway, which will reduce the Hanoi to Ho Chi Minh journey time from about 35 hours to under six hours. Other Japanese-funded aid projects are in the areas of health care, education, and the environment.

Text B — Trade and investment flows between Vietnam and Japan

  1. Japan imports seafood and consumer products such as textiles, leather shoes and processed foods from Vietnam, because Vietnam has a comparative advantage in such items. Conversely, Vietnam imports machinery, technology, and raw materials for production from Japan. Gradually barriers to trade are being removed. In 2020, Vietnam began exporting lychees (a luxury fruit) to Japan after five years of negotiations on quality standards. The improved access to the Japanese market has increased the number of consumers and the revenue earned by Vietnamese lychee farmers.

  2. Japanese firms invest in Vietnam, particularly in urban areas, because wages are low and they can export from Vietnam to other CPTPP members and to China and Indonesia. Panasonic, a Japanese multinational company (MNC), relocated a major factory, which manufactures refrigerators and washing machines, from Thailand to Vietnam in 2020. The construction of a coal-fired power plant is mainly funded by Japanese firms. The Japanese government is promoting further investment by subsidizing over 30 firms that are relocating from China to Vietnam. Most of these firms are food processors or producers of manufactured goods (for example, medical equipment).

Text C — Roles of the central bank in Vietnam

  1. The central bank in Vietnam has been lowering interest rates since mid-2019. However, it has kept the minimum reserve requirement at 3 % of commercial bank deposits, despite suggestions that this requirement could be lowered.

  2. The central bank also regulates the exchange rate of the dong (Vietnam’s currency). It actively intervenes in the foreign exchange market to stabilize the rate when necessary. In April 2020, there was downward pressure on the dong due to the lower interest rates and fewer foreign tourists. However, the central bank has a large amount of reserve assets, which were used to prevent the dong from depreciating.

Question

Define the term debt servicing indicated in bold in Table 1.

▶️Answer/Explanation
An understanding that it is one of the following:
– the repayment of principal/initial amount borrowed
– the repayment of interest on the debt/borrowing/loans
(of a person /a firm / a country / government)

Fiji’s challenges and opportunities

  1. In 2016, the island nation of Fiji suffered from cyclone Winston (a tropical storm), costing more than 40 lives and damaging its infrastructure. One of the country’s four sugar mills was severely damaged, harming raw sugar processing. Processed sugar is, in addition to bottled water and tourism, a major export in Fiji. A recent study found that the damage from the cyclone continues to have a lasting effect on communities as fisherwomen report fewer and smaller crabs and fishes. The social safety net is limited and there are calls for the government to help the citizens who have been affected by the cyclone. However, the government had to use its budget to rebuild infrastructure.

  2. The government has prepared several strategies to strengthen the economy. These include financial support for sugar cane producers, diversification of its agricultural produce, better access to finance and encouragement of investment. The government has committed to provide equal opportunities for all: promoting the participation of women in education and political leadership, because Fiji has one of the lowest female participation rates in politics in the world.

  3. To support its sugar cane farmers, the government provides a 55 % subsidy on pesticides (products that kill weeds) used in farming. However, small farmers are complaining about the excessive paperwork that needs to be completed to receive the subsidy and there is potential for corruption. Fiji competes with Brazil, which has an absolute advantage, in the world market for sugar.

  4. To diversify, the government plans to expand the ginger and coconut industries. Both industries are economically and environmentally sustainable. The industries provide an increased number of Fijians with a worthwhile income. Coconut production plays a very important role in Fiji’s economy, particularly in the more isolated rural communities, where formal employment is scarce and where alternative cash crops (crops grown to be sold for profit) do not exist. Coconut is a staple food and is vital for food security (ensuring that people have access to enough food), but is also important for health, economic and cultural reasons. New market opportunities have emerged in high-value products – green coconut products, such as coconut water, are becoming increasingly popular throughout the world.

  5. The Asian Development Bank encourages Fijian farmers to access “green finance”. These financial investments support economic development through sustainable development initiatives and policies. Under the government’s new reforms, farmers are able to use assets such as crops and contracts as collateral for loans, creating improved access to finance. However, to increase incomes, farmers will also need to improve their financial knowledge.

  6. To create an investment-friendly environment, the government must develop more infrastructure, create market access through greater economic integration and reduce asymmetric information between farmers and wholesale buyers. Australia has decided to help Fiji by financing infrastructure through grants and concessional loans.

Question

Using a production possibility curve (PPC) diagram, explain how damage to Fiji’s infrastructure has affected its production possibilities (paragraph [1]).

▶️Answer/Explanation
A PPC diagram showing a decrease in production possibilities (inward shift of the PPC).
AND
For an explanation that a loss of lives and infrastructure will decrease the quality and/or quantity and/or efficiency / productivity of capital/resources, leading to a decrease in the production possibilities (potential output) of the economy.
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